Investment Opportunities in the Chip War
Geopolitical turmoil, trade wars, climate crises,… we live in a multipolar world in which economic power blocs strive for greater strategic independence. This has an impact on the industry and also technology, more specifically data and data processing, and – luckily for investors – also presents attractive opportunities.
Economic power blocs worldwide are striving for greater technological independence. The superpowers are encouraging their companies to develop their own innovative technology. Investors can also benefit from this boost, explain Tom Simonts, Senior Financial Economist at KBC Group, and Joris Franck, Portfolio Manager at KBC Asset Management. “You don’t achieve strategic independence overnight – just imagine the infrastructure to manufacture chips, data storage or cybersecurity. These were popular themes on the market last year. And this trend is likely to continue for quite some time”, says Franck.
Espionage is as old as time. In today’s world, data theft is committed through hacking and ransomware attacks.
Joris Franck, Portfolio Manager KBC Asset Management
Chinese Wall
The entire technology sector runs on data. “And data is power”, Franck continues. “This makes sense from a military perspective: If you knew where your enemy was, you had a strategic advantage. The same goes for economic advantages. US players like Facebook and Google possess a plethora of information, which they use to target advertising, and they make a fortune off of it. Espionage – or stealing information, if you will – is as old as time. In today’s world, data theft is committed through hacking and ransomware attacks. Did you know that over 300 000 hackers are active in China? That’s huge.”
Anyone who has travelled to China will have noticed that Facebook and Google don’t work there. “The Chinese government doesn’t allow that US technology on its territory. It is blocked by a Great Firewall”, Tom Simonts explains. “It has actually taken the United States a long time to start reacting to this and, for example, consider a ban on China’s TikTok. A huge number of Chinese apps are banned in India.” The major power blocs are facing each other with knives drawn, although this concerns semiconductors.
Europe is a referee of sorts, deciding what everyone can and cannot do in the tech world.
Tom Simonts, senior financieel econoom KBC GroupTom Simonts, Senior financial Economist KBC Group
In the so-called ‘Chip War’, Europe seems to be the underdog, but Simonts refutes that. “We may not have major technology groups or production houses here, but we’re more advanced than you might initially think. Europe provides the cement, so to speak, for international technology companies. We make the machines to produce the chips, and we develop the technology the Americans and the Chinese need. This makes us a referee of sorts, deciding what everyone can and cannot do. Still, as a region, we need to further refine our own policy. And our businesses, too.”
Retaining Control
Protecting yourself and your business is crucial. According to Franck, “you have to retain autonomy over your data. That starts with being very selective about who you allow access to it. Secondly, where will your data be stored – in the cloud or on your own servers? Eventually, you’ll send this data to other parties. Which channels and devices do you use to send this data? Last but not least: chips – the foundation of the digital world. The question of which technology to use and being aware of its risks is therefore very relevant.”
“There are now many Chips Acts in the United States, Europe and other powers. We all want big data centres on our own soil”, Simonts adds. But he points out that companies are also taking responsibility and this presents opportunities for
investors. “Always carefully consider whether you should just hand over all your data to a company like Microsoft. French company OVHcloud, for example, is establishing itself as a fierce critic, offering space in the European cloud. Amazon, on the other hand, recently acquired a nuclear power plant to make sure it has enough energy to power its data centres.”
Listen to the podcast (available in Dutch only)
Want to read more about thematic investing?
This article is purely informative and should not be considered investment advice